remote sensing; drought; seasonal forecasting; monitoring; Switzerland; isotope hydrology; modeling; streamflow; water resources; low-flow; groundwater; soil moisture
Zappa Massimiliano, Bernard Luzi, Spirig Christoph, Pfaundler Martin, Stahl Kerstin, Kruse Sylvia, Seidl Irmi, Staehli Manfred (2014), A prototype platform for water resources monitoring and early recognition of critical droughts in Switzerland, in Evolving Water Resources Systems: Understanding, Predicting and Managing Water–Society Interactions
Staehli Manfred, Kruse Sylvia, Fundel Felix, Zappa Massimiliano, Bernhard Luzi, Stahl Kerstin, Seidl Irmi (2013), drought.ch – auf dem Weg zu einer Trockenheits-Informationsplattform für die Schweiz, in Wasser, Energie, Luft
, 2, 117-121.
Orlowsky Boris, Seneviratne Sonia (2013), Elusive drought: Uncertainty in observed trends and short- and long-term CMIP5 projections, in Hydr. Earth Syst. Sci.
, 17, 1765-1781.
Teuling Adriaan, van Loon Anne, Seneviratne Sonia, Lehner Irene, Aubinet Marc, Heinesch Bernard, Bernhofer Christian, Gruenwald Thomas, Prasse Heiko, Spank Uwe (2013), Evapotranspiration amplifies European summer drought, in Geophysical Research Letters
, 40(10), 2071-2075.
Lorenz Ruth, Davin Edouard, Lawrence Dave, Stoeckli Reto, Seneviratne Sonia (2013), How important is vegetation phenology for European climate and heatwaves?, in Journal of Climate
, 26, 10077-10100.
Orth Rene, Koster R.D., Seneviratne Sonia I. (2013), Inferring soil moisture memory from streamflow observations, in J. Hydrometeorology
, 14 (6), 1773-1790.
Fundel Felix, Joerg-Hess Stefanie, Zappa Massimiliano (2013), Monthly hydrometeorological ensemble prediction of streamflow droughts and corresponding drought indices, in Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
, 17, 395-407.
Orth Rene, Seneviratne Sonia I. (2013), Predictability of soil moisture and streamflow on sub-seasonal timescales: A case study, in J. Geophysical Res. - Atmospheres
, 118, 10963-10979.
Orth Rene, Seneviratne Sonia I. (2013), Propagation of soil moisture memory to streamflow and evapotranspiration, in Hydr. Earth Syst. Sci.
, 17, 3895-3911.
Seneviratne Sonia, Orth Rene, Joerg-Hess Stefanie, Kruse Sylvia, Seidl Irmi, Staehli Manfred, Zappa Massimiliano, Seibert Jan, Staudinger Maria, Stahl Kerstin, Weiler Markus (2013), Trockenheit in der Schweiz, in Aqua & Gas
, 9, 38-47.
Seneviratne Sonia, Koster Randal (2012), A revised framework for analyzing soil moisture memory in climate data: Derivation and interpretation, in Journal of Hydrometeorology
, 13, 404-412.
Orth Rene, Seneviratne Sonia (2012), Analysis of soil moisture memory from observations in Europe, in J. Geophysical Research
, 117(D15115), 1-19.
Seneviratne Sonia (2012), Historical drought trends revisited, in Nature
, 491, 338-339.
Lorenz Ruth, Davin Edouard, Seneviratne Sonia (2012), Modeling land-climate coupling in Europe: Impact of land surface representation on climate variability and extremes, in Journal of Geophysical Research
, 117, D20109.
Seneviratne Sonia, Lehner Irene, Gurtz J., Teuling A.J., Lang H., Moser U., Grebner D., Menzel L., Schroff Karl, Vitvar T., Zappa Massimiliano (2012), Swiss pre-alpine Rietholzbach research catchment and lysimeter: Analysis of 32-year hydroclimatological time series and 2003 drought, in Water Resources Research
, 48(W06526), 1-20.
Seneviratne Sonia, Lehner Irene, Gurtz Joachim, Teuling Adriaan Josephus, Lang Herbert, Moser Ulrich, Grebner Dietmar, Menzel Lucas, Schroff Karl, Vitvar Tomas, Zappa Massimiliano (2012), Swiss pre-alpine Rietholzbach research catchment and lysimeter: Analysis of 32-year hydroclimatological time series and 2003 drought, in Water Resources Research
, 48, W06526.
Zappa Massimiliano, Bernard Luzi, Fundel Felix, Joerg-Hess Stefanie (2012), Vorhersage und Szenarien von Schnee- und Wasserressourcen im Alpenraum, in Forum fuer Wissen
Zappa Massimiliano (2011), Aussergewöhnliche Trockenheit im 2011 - Neue Vorhersagesysteme für Wasserressourcen, in Newsletter Naturgefahren SLF
Staudinger Maria, Stahl Kerstin, Seibert Jan, Clark M.P., Tallaksen L.M. (2011), Comparison of hydrological model structures based on recession and low flow simulations, in Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
, 8, 6833-6866.
Fundel F. Zappa M. (2011), Hydrological Ensemble Forecasting in Mesoscale Catchments: Sensitivity to Initial Conditions and Value of Reforecasts, in Water Resour. Res
, 47, 1-15.
Hirschi Martin, Seneviratne Sonia, Alexandrov Vesselin, Boberg Fredrik, Boroneant Constanta, Christensen Ole, Formayer Herbert, Orlowsky Boris, Stepanek Peter (2011), Observational evidence for soil-moisture impact on hot extremes in southeastern Europe, in Nature Geoscience
, 4, 17-21.
Teuling Adriaan, Seneviratne Sonia, Stöckli Reto, Reichstein Markus, Moors Eddy, Ciais Philippe, Luyssaert Sebastiaan, van den Hurk Bart, Ammann Christof, Bernhofer Christian, Dellwik Ebba, Gianelle Damiano, Gielen Bert, Grünwald Thomas, Klumpp Katja, Montagnani Leonardo, Moureaux Christine, Sottocornola Matteo, Wohlfahrt Georg (2010), Contrasting response of European forest and grassland energy exchange to heatwaves., in Nature Geoscience
, 3, 722-727.
Kruse Sylvia, Seidl Irmi, Stähli Manfred (2010), Informationsbedarf für die Früherkennung von Trockenheit in der Schweiz. Die Sicht potentiell betroffener Nutzergruppen, in Wasser, Energie, Luft
, 102(4), 301-304.
Kruse Sylvia, Seidl Irmi, Social capacities for drought risk management in Switzerland, in Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci.
Droughts have severe consequences for nature and society. This includes impacts on agriculture, water supply, energy production, building infrastructure, and ecosystems. As droughts can enhance the severity of heat waves, they also impact human health. Climate models project that events such as the 2003 drought and heatwave will become more frequent in the coming decades in Switzerland. The early recognition of critical drought conditions has large economic and social benefits and is hence essential for drought risk management. The potential of such applications in Switzerland needs to be investigated.The prediction and characterization of drought events is challenging for several reasons: 1) Droughts are complex phenomena involving numerous interacting climate processes; 2) The sensitivity of regions to droughts depends on several factors, from storage properties and natural resilience to water use and social systems’ vulnerability; 3) Monitoring of relevant variables such as soil moisture - in particular at regional scale - are lacking in many countries, including Switzerland.The proposed project aims at the characterization and early recognition of critical drought and low-flow conditions in Switzerland, and will provide the scientific basis for the development of an information and early warning platform for drought and low flow (similar to the upcoming National platform for Natural Hazards, GIN). The project integrates a nature system component (WP2-WP5), dedicated to the improvement of the modelling, observation, forecast, and analysis of drought and low-flow characteristics in Switzerland, with a use and social system component, dedicated to the identification of the needs of end users, stakeholders and decision makers. Both components will interact and jointly provide the basis for the development of the information and early warning platform, which will be available as a prototype by the end of the project.