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Case and partnership reproduction numbers for a curable sexually transmitted infection.
Type of publication
Peer-reviewed
Publikationsform
Original article (peer-reviewed)
Publication date
2013
Author
Heijne Janneke C M, Herzog Sereina A, Althaus Christian L, Low Nicola, Kretzschmar Mirjam,
Project
Acute and chronic dynamics of HIV and HCV infections, within-host evolution and epidemiological outcomes
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Original article (peer-reviewed)
Journal
Journal of theoretical biology
Volume (Issue)
331
Page(s)
38 - 47
Title of proceedings
Journal of theoretical biology
DOI
10.1016/j.jtbi.2013.04.010
Abstract
Sexually transmitted infections (STIs) are, by definition, transmitted between sexual partners. For curable STIs an infected index case can potentially re-infect the same partner multiple times. Thus, R0, the average number of secondary infections one typical infected individual will produce during his or her infectious period is not necessarily the same as the average number of secondary cases (infected persons). Here we introduce the new concept of the case reproduction number (Rc). In addition, we define the partnership reproduction number (Rp) as the average number of secondary partnerships consisting of two infected individuals one typical infected individual will produce over his or her infectious lifetime. Rp takes into account clearance and re-infection within partnerships, which results in a prolongation of the duration of the infectious period. The two new reproduction numbers were derived for a deterministic pair model with serial monogamous partnerships using infection parameters for Chlamydia trachomatis, an example of a curable STI. We showed that re-infection within partnerships means that curable STIs can be sustained endemically even when the average number of secondary cases a person produces during his or her infectious period is below one.
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