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Resilience-based forest management: Coupling spatially explicit tree-community and landscape models with functional diversity science using network theory

Applicant Mina Marco
Number 175101
Funding scheme Early Postdoc.Mobility
Research institution University of Quebec Dept. of Biological Sciences
Institution of higher education Institution abroad - IACH
Main discipline Other disciplines of Environmental Sciences
Start/End 01.04.2018 - 30.09.2019
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Keywords (9)

forest dynamic modelling ; complexity science; landscape connectivity ; natural disturbances; climate change; network theory; ecological resilience; functional diversity ; forest management

Lay Summary (Italian)

Lead
Gli eventi di disturbo naturale negli ecosistemi forestali stanno aumentando in frequenza e intensità a causa dei cambiamenti climatici globali. Data l’imprevedibilità di eventi estremi di disturbo, previsioni di crescita e dinamica forestale, necessarie per poter pianificare interventi di gestione, risultano sempre più difficoltose e incerte. La mancanza di una buona gestione degli ecosistemi forestali mette a repentaglio la capacità delle foreste di mantenere un’alta resilienza ecologica e funzionale, nonché un’adeguata provvigione di servizi ecosistemici.
Lay summary

Questo progetto mira a combinare modelli ecologici spazializzati a base funzionale – sia a scala di popolamento forestale che di paesaggio – con la teoria della diversità funzionale. Utilizzando la teoria dei grafi è possibile identificare soglie di indici funzionali (indici di diversità funzionale, ridondanza, connettività, centralità e modularità) oltre le quali si possono verificare cambiamenti repentini e indesiderabili dello stato di un ecosistema. In base a questi risultati è possibile determinare le migliori strategie di gestione forestale per massimizzare i servizi ecosistemici e la resilienza dei soprassuoli forestali ai fattori di stress dovuti al cambiamento globale.

Il progetto si compone di tre parti: (1) lo sviluppo di un nuovo meta-modello in grado di simulare la dinamica forestale a scala di popolamento forestale e paesaggio, con l'incorporazione di indici di diversità funzionale derivati utilizzando la teoria dei grafi; (2) la valutazione delle migliori strategie di gestione forestale a più scale spaziali per ottimizzare resilienza, servizi ecosistemici e diversità funzionale considerando l’incertezza dovuta a possibili impatti di diversi disturbi naturali; (3) l’identificazione di livelli soglia (tipping points) dovuti alla frammentazione ambientale e a cambiamenti di diversità funzionale sotto i quali la resilienza di un paesaggio forestale viene compromessa a causa degli impatti di continui e imprevisti disturbi naturali.

Il progetto sperimenterà nuove e innovative metodologie per valutare e proporre le più efficienti pratiche di gestione forestale al fine di massimizzare la resilienza ecologica e funzionale non solo di singoli popolamenti forestali ma anche di paesaggi forestali frammentati nel loro complesso.

Direct link to Lay Summary Last update: 06.07.2017

Responsible applicant and co-applicants

Publications

Publication
Managing for the unexpected: Building resilient forest landscapes to cope with global change
Mina Marco, Messier Christian, Duveneck Matthew J., Fortin Marie‐Josée, Aquilué Núria (2022), Managing for the unexpected: Building resilient forest landscapes to cope with global change, in Global Change Biology, 1-19.
Simulating the Effects of Intensifying Silviculture on Desired Species Yields across a Broad Environmental Gradient
Searle Eric B., Bell F. Wayne, Larocque Guy R., Fortin Mathieu, Dacosta Jennifer, Sousa-Silva Rita, Mina Marco, Deighton Holly D. (2021), Simulating the Effects of Intensifying Silviculture on Desired Species Yields across a Broad Environmental Gradient, in Forests, 12(6), 755-755.
A Step-by-Step Guide to Initialize and Calibrate Landscape Models: A Case Study in the Mediterranean Mountains
Suárez-Muñoz María, Mina Marco, Salazar Pablo C., Navarro-Cerrillo Rafael M., Quero José L., Bonet-García Francisco J. (2021), A Step-by-Step Guide to Initialize and Calibrate Landscape Models: A Case Study in the Mediterranean Mountains, in Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, 9, 1.
A simple-to-use management approach to boost adaptive capacity of forests to global uncertainty
Aquilué Núria, Messier Christian, Martins Kyle T., Dumais-Lalonde Véronique, Mina Marco (2021), A simple-to-use management approach to boost adaptive capacity of forests to global uncertainty, in Forest Ecology and Management, 481, 118692-118692.
Network analysis can guide resilience‐based management in forest landscapes under global change
Mina Marco, Messier Christian, Duveneck Matthew, Fortin Marie‐Josée, Aquilué Núria (2020), Network analysis can guide resilience‐based management in forest landscapes under global change, in Ecological Applications, 2221.
The functional complex network approach to foster forest resilience to global changes
Messier Christian, Bauhus Jürgen, Doyon Frederik, Maure Fanny, Sousa-Silva Rita, Nolet Philippe, Mina Marco, Aquilué Núria, Fortin Marie-Josée, Puettmann Klaus (2019), The functional complex network approach to foster forest resilience to global changes, in Forest Ecosystems, 6(1), 21-21.

Datasets

Supporting data to Mina et al. 2020 Ecological Applications

Author Mina, Marco
Publication date 12.05.2020
Persistent Identifier (PID) 10.5281/zenodo.3823195
Repository Zenodo
Abstract
First release LANDIS-II and PnET-Succession input files supporting the paper Mina et al. 2020 Ecological Applications

Managing for the unexpected: building resilient forest landscapes to cope with global change: Supporting data

Author Mina, Marco
Publication date 10.04.2022
Persistent Identifier (PID) 10.5281/zenodo.6434982
Repository Zenodo
Abstract
Input files and installers of the versions of LANDIS-II, PnET-Succession and other extensions used in the associated paper. They can be used to to reproduce results of the study.The model documentation is freely available at https://www.landis-ii.org/The LANDIS-II code is distributed under an open source license at https://github.com/LANDIS-II-Foundation.If interested in using this dataset for a research study or project, please contact Marco Mina

Collaboration

Group / person Country
Types of collaboration
University of Toronto Canada (North America)
- in-depth/constructive exchanges on approaches, methods or results
- Publication
University of Granada Spain (Europe)
- in-depth/constructive exchanges on approaches, methods or results
- Publication
Harvard Forest United States of America (North America)
- in-depth/constructive exchanges on approaches, methods or results
- Publication
Université catholique de Louvain Belgium (Europe)
- in-depth/constructive exchanges on approaches, methods or results
Ontario Forest Research Institute, Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources Canada (North America)
- Publication
Forest Sciences and Technology Centre of Catalonia (CTFC) Spain (Europe)
- in-depth/constructive exchanges on approaches, methods or results
- Publication
Université du Quebéq en Outauais (ISFORT) Canada (North America)
- in-depth/constructive exchanges on approaches, methods or results
- Publication

Scientific events

Active participation

Title Type of contribution Title of article or contribution Date Place Persons involved
IALE-North America 2021 Annual Meeting Talk given at a conference Managing the Unexpected – Resilient Forest Landscapes to Novel Climate and Insect Outbreak Disturbance Regimes 12.04.2021 Reno, NV (remotely), United States of America Mina Marco;
Managing forests in the 21st century Talk given at a conference Seeing forest landscapes as functional complex networks- a way to enhance resilience to climate change and disturbances 03.03.2021 Potsdam, Germany Mina Marco;
IALE-North America 2020 Annual Meeting Talk given at a conference Coupling simulation modelling with network theory to evaluate resilience to global change in fragmented forest landscapes 11.05.2020 Toronto (remotely), Canada Mina Marco;
Governing and managing forests for multiple ecosystem services across the globe Talk given at a conference Future trajectories in fragmented forest landscapes - linking simulation modelling with the functional complex network approach 26.02.2020 Bonn, Germany Mina Marco;
Harvard Forest Seminars Individual talk Forest Planning 2.0. Foreseeing forest futures to aid management decisions 13.12.2019 Petersham, MA , United States of America Mina Marco;
Invited seminar at the Department of Ecology & Evolutionary Biology, University of Toronto Individual talk European forests: status, management, challenges and ecosystem services 18.10.2019 Toronto, Canada Mina Marco;
Seminar at MSc course "Maîtrise en gestion durable des écosystèmes forestiers" Individual talk Forest dynamics, management and ecosystem services in European forests 26.09.2019 Montreal, Canada Mina Marco;
10th IALE World Congress Talk given at a conference Managing forest landscapes as functional complex networks: a simulation study 01.07.2019 Milan, Italy Mina Marco;
Seminar lecture in "Multi-scale forest dynamic models" Individual talk Modelling forest dynamics. From stand to landscape 13.12.2018 University of Lleida, Spain Mina Marco;
ESA Annual Meeting Talk given at a conference Coupling tree-community and landscape models with functional diversity and network theories for resilience-based forest management 05.08.2018 New Orleans, United States of America Mina Marco;


Communication with the public

Communication Title Media Place Year
New media (web, blogs, podcasts, news feeds etc.) A step forward in the simulation of Mediterranean forest ecosystems Forest Monitor International 2021
New media (web, blogs, podcasts, news feeds etc.) Are ash trees doomed? Forest Monitor International 2020
New media (web, blogs, podcasts, news feeds etc.) Forest landscapes as functional networks - Novel approaches to manage for resilience EFI Resilience Blog International 2020
New media (web, blogs, podcasts, news feeds etc.) Managing forests as functional complex networks EFI Resilience Blog International 2019
New media (web, blogs, podcasts, news feeds etc.) Seeing and managing forests as functional complex networks – an interview with Christian Messier Forest Monitor International 2019
New media (web, blogs, podcasts, news feeds etc.) No more maple syrup? Forest Monitor International 2018
New media (web, blogs, podcasts, news feeds etc.) The symmetry of competition: does the battle take place above or below our feet? Forest Monitor International 2018
New media (web, blogs, podcasts, news feeds etc.) Were forests not taken seriously enough in the last IPCC 1.5° report? Forest Monitor International 2018

Abstract

The increasing frequency, intensity, and uncertainty of high-impact disturbance events due to global change are negatively impacting our ability to predict and manage forest growth and dynamics, therefore challenging the capacity to maintain ecological resilience and ecosystem services from forests worldwide. While forest ecosystems are complex adaptive systems, a multi-scale perspective and regional landscape management planning can improve our ability to manage forests under increasing socio-ecological changes. Although several methodological challenges persist, indices of functional diversity, redundancy, connectivity, centrality and modularity calculated at both stand and landscape levels have been increasingly proposed as proxy for quantifying forest resilience under relatively unknown future conditions. My proposed project aims at coupling spatially explicit tree-community and landscape models with functional diversity theory using network theory to identify thresholds levels causing abrupt and undesirable changes in ecosystem state and to determine optimal forest management strategies to maximize ecosystem services and resilience to global change factors. I propose three main research steps: (1) to develop a new meta-model coupling stand and landscape scale dynamics with functional diversity using network theory, (2) to evaluate multi-scale management options for resilience, ecosystem services, and functional diversity under scenarios of uncertain disturbances, and (3) to determine threshold levels (i.e., tipping points) of both fragmentation and functional diversity below which the overall resilience of a landscape is threatened under combinations of pulse and press disturbances. This project will test novel and innovative ways to implement resilience-based forest management for large fragmented forest landscapes.
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