biogeochemical cycles; Earth System modeling; paleoclimate; probabilistic projections; GHG and carbon-climate feedbacks; carbon dioxide; methane; nitrous oxide; isotopes; atmosphere-ocean-land biosphere-sediments
Terhaar Jens, Frölicher Thomas L., Joos Fortunat (2021), Southern Ocean anthropogenic carbon sink constrained by sea surface salinity, in
Science Advances, 7(18), eabd5964-eabd5964.
Morée Anne L., Schwinger Jörg, Ninnemann Ulysses S., Jeltsch-Thömmes Aurich, Bethke Ingo, Heinze Christoph (2021), Evaluating the biological pump efficiency of the Last Glacial Maximum ocean using d13C, in
Climate of the Past, 17(2), 753-774.
Walker Anthony P., De Kauwe Martin G., Bastos Ana, Belmecheri Soumaya, Georgiou Katerina, Keeling Ralph F., McMahon Sean M., Medlyn Belinda E., Moore David J. P., Norby Richard J., Zaehle Sönke, Anderson‐Teixeira Kristina J., Battipaglia Giovanna, Brienen Roel J. W., Cabugao Kristine G., Cailleret Maxime, Campbell Elliott, Canadell Josep G., Ciais Philippe, Craig Matthew E., Ellsworth David S., Farquhar Graham D., Fatichi Simone, Fisher Joshua B., et al. (2021), Integrating the evidence for a terrestrial carbon sink caused by increasing atmospheric CO 2, in
New Phytologist, 229(5), 2413-2445.
Pöppelmeier Frerk, Scheen Jeemijn, Jeltsch-Thömmes Aurich, Stocker Thomas F. (2021), Simulated stability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation during the Last Glacial Maximum, in
Climate of the Past, 17(2), 615-632.
Bengtson Shannon A., Menviel Laurie C., Meissner Katrin J., Missiaen Lise, Peterson Carlye D., Lisiecki Lorraine E., Joos Fortunat (2021), Lower oceanic d13C during the last interglacial period compared to the Holocene, in
Climate of the Past, 17(1), 507-528.
Heinze Christoph, Blenckner Thorsten, Martins Helena, Rusiecka Dagmara, Döscher Ralf, Gehlen Marion, Gruber Nicolas, Holland Elisabeth, Hov Øystein, Joos Fortunat, Matthews John Brian Robin, Rødven Rolf, Wilson Simon (2021), The quiet crossing of ocean tipping points, in
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118(9), e200847811-e200847811.
Loisel J., Gallego-Sala A. V., Amesbury M. J., Magnan G., Anshari G., Beilman D. W., Benavides J. C., Blewett J., Camill P., Charman D. J., Chawchai S., Hedgpeth A., Kleinen T., Korhola A., Large D., Mansilla C. A., Müller J., van Bellen S., West J. B., Yu Z., Bubier J. L., Garneau M., Moore T., Sannel A. B. K., et al. (2021), Expert assessment of future vulnerability of the global peatland carbon sink, in
Nature Climate Change, 11(1), 70-77.
Friedlingstein Pierre, O'Sullivan Michael, Jones Matthew W., Andrew Robbie M., Hauck Judith, Olsen Are, Peters Glen P., Peters Wouter, Pongratz Julia, Sitch Stephen, Le Quéré Corinne, Canadell Josep G., Ciais Philippe, Jackson Robert B., Alin Simone, Aragão Luiz E. O. C., Arneth Almut, Arora Vivek, Bates Nicholas R., Becker Meike, Benoit-Cattin Alice, Bittig Henry C., Bopp Laurent, Bultan Selma, et al. (2020), Global Carbon Budget 2020, in
Earth System Science Data, 12(4), 3269-3340.
Müller Jurek, Joos Fortunat (2020), Global peatland area and carbon dynamics from the Last Glacial Maximum to the present – a process-based model investigation, in
Biogeosciences, 17(21), 5285-5308.
Bastos A., Fu Z., Ciais P., Friedlingstein P., Sitch S., Pongratz J., Weber U., Reichstein M., Anthoni P., Arneth A., Haverd V., Jain A., Joetzjer E., Knauer J., Lienert S., Loughran T., McGuire P. C., Obermeier W., Padrón R. S., Shi H., Tian H., Viovy N., Zaehle S. (2020), Impacts of extreme summers on European ecosystems: a comparative analysis of 2003, 2010 and 2018, in
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 375(1810), 20190507-20190507.
Tian Hanqin, Xu Rongting, Canadell Josep G., Thompson Rona L., Winiwarter Wilfried, Suntharalingam Parvadha, Davidson Eric A., Ciais Philippe, Jackson Robert B., Janssens-Maenhout Greet, Prather Michael J., Regnier Pierre, Pan Naiqing, Pan Shufen, Peters Glen P., Shi Hao, Tubiello Francesco N., Zaehle Sönke, Zhou Feng, Arneth Almut, Battaglia Gianna, Berthet Sarah, Bopp Laurent, Bouwman Alexander F., et al. (2020), A comprehensive quantification of global nitrous oxide sources and sinks, in
Nature, 586(7828), 248-256.
Yang Hui, Ciais Philippe, Santoro Maurizio, Huang Yuanyuan, Li Wei, Wang Yilong, Bastos Ana, Goll Daniel, Arneth Almut, Anthoni Peter, Arora Vivek K., Friedlingstein Pierre, Harverd Vanessa, Joetzjer Emilie, Kautz Markus, Lienert Sebastian, Nabel Julia E. M. S., O'Sullivan Michael, Sitch Stephen, Vuichard Nicolas, Wiltshire Andy, Zhu Dan (2020), Comparison of forest above‐ground biomass from dynamic global vegetation models with spatially explicit remotely sensed observation‐based estimates, in
Global Change Biology, 26(7), 3997-4012.
Saunois Marielle, Stavert Ann R., Poulter Ben, Bousquet Philippe, Canadell Josep G., Jackson Robert B., Raymond Peter A., Dlugokencky Edward J., Houweling Sander, Patra Prabir K., Ciais Philippe, Arora Vivek K., Bastviken David, Bergamaschi Peter, Blake Donald R., Brailsford Gordon, Bruhwiler Lori, Carlson Kimberly M., Carrol Mark, Castaldi Simona, Chandra Naveen, Crevoisier Cyril, Crill Patrick M., Covey Kristofer, et al. (2020), The Global Methane Budget 2000–2017, in
Earth System Science Data, 12(3), 1561-1623.
Dinauer Ashley, Adolphi Florian, Joos Fortunat (2020), Mysteriously high Δ14C of the glacial atmosphere: influence of 14C production and carbon cycle changes, in
Climate of the Past, 16(4), 1159-1185.
Joos Fortunat, Spahni Renato, Stocker Benjamin D., Lienert Sebastian, Müller Jurek, Fischer Hubertus, Schmitt Jochen, Prentice I. Colin, Otto-Bliesner Bette, Liu Zhengyu (2020), N2O changes from the Last Glacial Maximum to the preindustrial – Part 2: terrestrial N2O emissions and carbon–nitrogen cycle interactions, in
Biogeosciences, 17(13), 3511-3543.
Churakova-Sidorova OV, Lienert S, Timofeeva G, Siegwolf R, Roden J, Joos F, Saurer M (2020), Measured and modelled source water δ18O based on tree-ring cellulose of larch and pine trees from the permafrost zone, in
iForest - Biogeosciences and Forestry, 13(1), 224-229.
MacDougall Andrew H., Frölicher Thomas L., Jones Chris D., Rogelj Joeri, Matthews H. Damon, Zickfeld Kirsten, Arora Vivek K., Barrett Noah J., Brovkin Victor, Burger Friedrich A., Eby Micheal, Eliseev Alexey V., Hajima Tomohiro, Holden Philip B., Jeltsch-Thömmes Aurich, Koven Charles, Mengis Nadine, Menviel Laurie, Michou Martine, Mokhov Igor I., Oka Akira, Schwinger Jörg, Séférian Roland, Shaffer Gary, et al. (2020), Is there warming in the pipeline? A multi-model analysis of the Zero Emissions Commitment from CO<sub>2</sub>, in
Biogeosciences, 17(11), 2987-3016.
Pan Shufen, Pan Naiqing, Tian Hanqin, Friedlingstein Pierre, Sitch Stephen, Shi Hao, Arora Vivek K., Haverd Vanessa, Jain Atul K., Kato Etsushi, Lienert Sebastian, Lombardozzi Danica, Nabel Julia E. M. S., Ottlé Catherine, Poulter Benjamin, Zaehle Sönke, Running Steven W. (2020), Evaluation of global terrestrial evapotranspiration using state-of-the-art approaches in remote sensing, machine learning and land surface modeling, in
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 24(3), 1485-1509.
Jeltsch-Thömmes Aurich, Joos Fortunat (2020), Modeling the evolution of pulse-like perturbations in atmospheric carbon and carbon isotopes: the role of weathering-sedimentation imbalances, in
Climate of the Past, 16(2), 423-451.
Nehrbass-Ahles C., Shin J., Schmitt J., Bereiter B., Joos F., Schilt A., Schmidely L., Silva L., Teste G., Grilli R., Chappellaz J., Hodell D., Fischer H., Stocker T. F. (2020), Abrupt CO2 release to the atmosphere under glacial and early interglacial climate conditions, in
Science, 369(6506), 1000-1005.
Jeltsch-Thömmes Aurich, Stocker Thomas F., Joos Fortunat (2020), Hysteresis of the Earth system under positive and negative CO2 emissions, in
Environmental Research Letters, 15(12), 1-11.
Hameau Angélique, Frölicher Thomas L., Mignot Juliette, Joos Fortunat (2020), Is deoxygenation detectable before warming in the thermocline?, in
Biogeosciences, 17(7), 1877-1895.
Friedlingstein Pierre, Jones Matthew W., O'Sullivan Michael, Andrew Robbie M., Hauck Judith, Peters Glen P., Peters Wouter, Pongratz Julia, Sitch Stephen, Le Quéré Corinne, Bakker Dorothee C. E., Canadell Josep G., Ciais Philippe, Jackson Robert B., Anthoni Peter, Barbero Leticia, Bastos Ana, Bastrikov Vladislav, Becker Meike, Bopp Laurent, Buitenhuis Erik, Chandra Naveen, Chevallier Frédéric, Chini Louise P., et al. (2019), Global Carbon Budget 2019, in
Earth System Science Data, 11(4), 1783-1838.
Gottschalk Julia, Battaglia Gianna, Fischer Hubertus, Frölicher Thomas L., Jaccard Samuel L., Jeltsch-Thömmes Aurich, Joos Fortunat, Köhler Peter, Meissner Katrin J., Menviel Laurie, Nehrbass-Ahles Christoph, Schmitt Jochen, Schmittner Andreas, Skinner Luke C., Stocker Thomas F. (2019), Mechanisms of millennial-scale atmospheric CO2 change in numerical model simulations, in
Quaternary Science Reviews, 220, 30-74.
Chen Weizhe, Zhu Dan, Huang Chunju, Ciais Philippe, Yao Yitong, Friedlingstein Pierre, Sitch Stephen, Haverd Vanessa, Jain Atul K., Kato Etsushi, Kautz Markus, Lienert Sebastian, Lombardozzi Danica, Poulter Benjamin, Tian Hanqin, Vuichard Nicolas, Walker Anthony P., Zeng Ning (2019), Negative extreme events in gross primary productivity and their drivers in China during the past three decades, in
Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 275, 47-58.
Peltola Olli, Vesala Timo, Gao Yao, Räty Olle, Alekseychik Pavel, Aurela Mika, Chojnicki Bogdan, Desai Ankur R., Dolman Albertus J., Euskirchen Eugenie S., Friborg Thomas, Göckede Mathias, Helbig Manuel, Humphreys Elyn, Jackson Robert B., Jocher Georg, Joos Fortunat, Klatt Janina, Knox Sara H., Kowalska Natalia, Kutzbach Lars, Lienert Sebastian, Lohila Annalea, Mammarella Ivan, et al. (2019), Monthly gridded data product of northern wetland methane emissions based on upscaling eddy covariance observations, in
Earth System Science Data, 11(3), 1263-1289.
Patterson Bruce D., Mo Frode, Borgschulte Andreas, Hillestad Magne, Joos Fortunat, Kristiansen Trygve, Sunde Svein, van Bokhoven Jeroen A. (2019), Renewable CO2 recycling and synthetic fuel production in a marine environment, in
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 116(25), 12212-12219.
Ribas-Ribas Mariana, Battaglia Gianna, Humphreys Matthew P., Wurl Oliver (2019), Impact of Nonzero Intercept Gas Transfer Velocity Parameterizations on Global and Regional Ocean–Atmosphere CO2 Fluxes, in
Geosciences, 9(5), 230-230.
Hameau Angélique, Mignot Juliette, Joos Fortunat (2019), Assessment of time of emergence of anthropogenic deoxygenation and warming: insights from a CESM simulation from 850 to 2100 CE, in
Biogeosciences, 16(8), 1755-1780.
Xia Jiangzhou, Yuan Wenping, Lienert Sebastian, Joos Fortunat, Ciais Philippe, Viovy Nicolas, Wang Ying-ping, Wang Xufeng, Zhang Haicheng, Chen Yang, Tian Xiangjun (2019), Global Patterns in Net Primary Production Allocation Regulated by Environmental Conditions and Forest Stand Age: A Model‐Data Comparison, in
Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 124(17), 2039-2059.
Jeltsch-Thömmes Aurich, Battaglia Gianna, Cartapanis Olivier, Jaccard Samuel L., Joos Fortunat (2019), Low terrestrial carbon storage at the Last Glacial Maximum: constraints from multi-proxy data, in
Climate of the Past, 15(2), 849-879.
Joos Fortunat, Battaglia Gianna, Fischer Hubertus, Jeltsch-Thömmes Aurich, Schmitt Jochen (2019), Marine N2O emissions during a Younger Dryas-like event: the role of meridional overturning, tropical thermocline ventilation, and biological productivity, in
Environmental Research Letters, 14(7), 075007-075007.
Tsuruta Aki, Aalto Tuula, Backman Leif, Krol Maarten C., Peters Wouter, Lienert Sebastian, Joos Fortunat, Miller Paul A., Zhang Wenxin, Laurila Tuomas, Hatakka Juha, Leskinen Ari, Lehtinen Kari E. J., Peltola Olli, Vesala Timo, Levula Janne, Dlugokencky Ed, Heimann Martin, Kozlova Elena, Aurela Mika, Lohila Annalea, Kauhaniemi Mari, Gomez-Pelaez Angel J. (2019), Methane budget estimates in Finland from the CarbonTracker Europe-CH 4 data assimilation system, in
Tellus B: Chemical and Physical Meteorology, 71(1), 1565030-1565030.
Gu Sifan, Liu Zhengyu, Jahn Alexandra, Rempfer Johannes, Zhang Jiaxu, Joos Fortunat (2019), Modeling Neodymium Isotopes in the Ocean Component of the Community Earth System Model (CESM1), in
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 11(3), 624-640.
Fischer Hubertus, Schmitt Jochen, Bock Michael, Seth Barbara, Joos Fortunat, Spahni Renato, Lienert Sebastian, Battaglia Gianna, Stocker Benjamin D., Schilt Adrian, Brook Edward J. (2019), N2O changes from the Last Glacial Maximum to the preindustrial – Part 1: Quantitative reconstruction of terrestrial and marine emissions using N2O stable isotopes in ice cores, in
Biogeosciences, 16(20), 3997-4021.
Le Quéré Corinne, Andrew Robbie M., Friedlingstein Pierre, Sitch Stephen, Hauck Judith, Pongratz Julia, Pickers Penelope A., Korsbakken Jan Ivar, Peters Glen P., Canadell Josep G., Arneth Almut, Arora Vivek K., Barbero Leticia, Bastos Ana, Bopp Laurent, Chevallier Frédéric, Chini Louise P., Ciais Philippe, Doney Scott C., Gkritzalis Thanos, Goll Daniel S., Harris Ian, Haverd Vanessa, Hoffman Forrest M., et al. (2018), Global Carbon Budget 2018, in
Earth System Science Data, 10(4), 2141-2194.
Tian Hanqin, Yang Jia, Xu Rongting, Lu Chaoqun, Canadell Josep G., Davidson Eric A., Jackson Robert B., Arneth Almut, Chang Jinfeng, Ciais Philippe, Gerber Stefan, Ito Akihiko, Joos Fortunat, Lienert Sebastian, Messina Palmira, Olin Stefan, Pan Shufen, Peng Changhui, Saikawa Eri, Thompson Rona L., Vuichard Nicolas, Winiwarter Wilfried, Zaehle Sönke, Zhang Bowen (2018), Global soil nitrous oxide emissions since the preindustrial era estimated by an ensemble of terrestrial biosphere models: Magnitude, attribution, and uncertainty, in
Global Change Biology, 25(2), 640-659.
Tian Hanqin, Yang Jia, Xu Rongting, Lu Chaoqun, Canadell Josep G., Davidson Eric A., Jackson Robert B., Arneth Almut, Chang Jinfeng, Ciais Philippe, Gerber Stefan, Ito Akihiko, Joos Fortunat, Lienert Sebastian, Messina Palmira, Olin Stefan, Pan Shufen, Peng Changhui, Saikawa Eri, Thompson Rona L., Vuichard Nicolas, Winiwarter Wilfried, Zaehle Sönke, Zhang Bowen (2018), Global soil nitrous oxide emissions since the preindustrial era estimated by an ensemble of terrestrial biosphere models: Magnitude, attribution, and uncertainty, in
Global Change Biology, 25(2), 640-659.
Dommain René, Frolking Steve, Jeltsch-Thömmes Aurich, Joos Fortunat, Couwenberg John, Glaser Paul H. (2018), A radiative forcing analysis of tropical peatlands before and after their conversion to agricultural plantations, in
Global Change Biology, 24(11), 5518-5533.
Bastos Ana, Friedlingstein Pierre, Sitch Stephen, Chen Chi, Mialon Arnaud, Wigneron Jean-Pierre, Arora Vivek K., Briggs Peter R., Canadell Josep G., Ciais Philippe, Chevallier Frédéric, Cheng Lei, Delire Christine, Haverd Vanessa, Jain Atul K., Joos Fortunat, Kato Etsushi, Lienert Sebastian, Lombardozzi Danica, Melton Joe R., Myneni Ranga, Nabel Julia E. M. S., Pongratz Julia, Poulter Benjamin, et al. (2018), Impact of the 2015/2016 El Niño on the terrestrial carbon cycle constrained by bottom-up and top-down approaches, in
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 373(1760), 20170304-20170304.
Fischer Hubertus, Meissner Katrin J., Mix Alan C., Abram Nerilie J., Austermann Jacqueline, Brovkin Victor, Capron Emilie, Colombaroli Daniele, Daniau Anne-Laure, Dyez Kelsey A., Felis Thomas, Finkelstein Sarah A., Jaccard Samuel L., McClymont Erin L., Rovere Alessio, Sutter Johannes, Wolff Eric W., Affolter Stéphane, Bakker Pepijn, Ballesteros-Cánovas Juan Antonio, Barbante Carlo, Caley Thibaut, Carlson Anders E., Churakova Olga, et al. (2018), Palaeoclimate constraints on the impact of 2 °C anthropogenic warming and beyond, in
Nature Geoscience, 11(7), 474-485.
Tian Hanqin, Yang Jia, Lu Chaoqun, Xu Rongting, Canadell Josep G., Jackson Robert B., Arneth Almut, Chang Jinfeng, Chen Guangsheng, Ciais Philippe, Gerber Stefan, Ito Akihiko, Huang Yuanyuan, Joos Fortunat, Lienert Sebastian, Messina Palmira, Olin Stefan, Pan Shufen, Peng Changhui, Saikawa Eri, Thompson Rona L., Vuichard Nicolas, Winiwarter Wilfried, Zaehle Sönke, et al. (2018), The Global N2O Model Intercomparison Project, in
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99(6), 1231-1251.
Lienert Sebastian, Joos Fortunat (2018), A Bayesian ensemble data assimilation to constrain model parameters and land-use carbon emissions, in
Biogeosciences, 15(9), 2909-2930.
Le Quéré Corinne, Andrew Robbie M., Friedlingstein Pierre, Sitch Stephen, Pongratz Julia, Manning Andrew C., Korsbakken Jan Ivar, Peters Glen P., Canadell Josep G., Jackson Robert B., Boden Thomas A., Tans Pieter P., Andrews Oliver D., Arora Vivek K., Bakker Dorothee C. E., Barbero Leticia, Becker Meike, Betts Richard A., Bopp Laurent, Chevallier Frédéric, Chini Louise P., Ciais Philippe, Cosca Catherine E., Cross Jessica, et al. (2018), Global Carbon Budget 2017, in
Earth System Science Data, 10(1), 405-448.
Battaglia G., Joos F. (2018), Marine N2O Emissions From Nitrification and Denitrification Constrained by Modern Observations and Projected in Multimillennial Global Warming Simulations, in
Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 32(1), 92-121.
Klesse S., Babst F., Lienert S., Spahni R., Joos F., Bouriaud O., Carrer M., Filippo A. Di, Poulter B., Trotsiuk V., Wilson R., Frank D. C. (2018), A Combined Tree Ring and Vegetation Model Assessment of European Forest Growth Sensitivity to Interannual Climate Variability, in
Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 32, 1226-1240.
StockerBenjamin D., YuZ., JoosFortunat (2018),
Contrasting CO2 emissions from different Holocene land-use reconstructions: Does the carbon budget add up?, Past Global Changes Magazine, Past Global Changes Magazine.
Battaglia Gianna, Joos Fortunat (2018), Hazards of decreasing marine oxygen: the near-term and millennial-scale benefits of meeting the Paris climate targets, in
Earth System Dynamics, 9(2), 797-816.
Joos Fortunat, Buchmann Brigitte (2018), Preface: The 10th International Carbon Dioxide Conference (ICDC10) and the 19th WMO/IAEA Meeting on Carbon Dioxide, Other Greenhouse Gases, and Related Measurement Techniques (GGMT-2017), in
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 18(11), 7841-7842.
Strassmann Kuno M., Joos Fortunat (2018), The Bern Simple Climate Model (BernSCM) v1.0: an extensible and fully documented open-source re-implementation of the Bern reduced-form model for global carbon cycle–climate simulations, in
Geoscientific Model Development, 11(5), 1887-1908.
Buermann Wolfgang, Forkel Matthias, O’Sullivan Michael, Sitch Stephen, Friedlingstein Pierre, Haverd Vanessa, Jain Atul K., Kato Etsushi, Kautz Markus, Lienert Sebastian, Lombardozzi Danica, Nabel Julia E. M. S., Tian Hanqin, Wiltshire Andrew J., Zhu Dan, Smith William K., Richardson Andrew D. (2018), Widespread seasonal compensation effects of spring warming on northern plant productivity, in
Nature, 562, 110-114.
Peters Glen P., Le Quéré Corinne, Andrew Robbie M., Canadell Josep G., Friedlingstein Pierre, Ilyina Tatiana, Jackson Robert B., Joos Fortunat, Korsbakken Jan Ivar, McKinley Galen A., Sitch Stephen, Tans Pieter (2017), Towards real-time verification of CO2 emissions, in
Nature Climate Change, 7(12), 848-850.
Otto-Bliesner Bette L., Braconnot Pascale, Harrison Sandy P., Lunt Daniel J., Abe-Ouchi Ayako, Albani Samuel, Bartlein Patrick J., Capron Emilie, Carlson Anders E., Dutton Andrea, Fischer Hubertus, Goelzer Heiko, Govin Aline, Haywood Alan, Joos Fortunat, LeGrande Allegra N., Lipscomb William H., Lohmann Gerrit, Mahowald Natalie, Nehrbass-Ahles Christoph, Pausata Francesco S. R., Peterschmitt Jean-Yves, Phipps Steven J., Renssen Hans, et al. (2017), The PMIP4 contribution to CMIP6 – Part 2: Two interglacials, scientific objective and experimental design for Holocene and Last Interglacial simulations, in
Geoscientific Model Development, 10(11), 3979-4003.
Jungclaus Johann H., Bard Edouard, Baroni Mélanie, Braconnot Pascale, Cao Jian, Chini Louise P., Egorova Tania, Evans Michael, González-Rouco J. Fidel, Goosse Hugues, Hurtt George C., Joos Fortunat, Kaplan Jed O., Khodri Myriam, Klein Goldewijk Kees, Krivova Natalie, LeGrande Allegra N., Lorenz Stephan J., Luterbacher Jürg, Man Wenmin, Maycock Amanda C., Meinshausen Malte, Moberg Anders, Muscheler Raimund, et al. (2017), The PMIP4 contribution to CMIP6 – Part 3: The last millennium, scientific objective, and experimental design for the PMIP4 past1000 simulations, in
Geoscientific Model Development, 10(11), 4005-4033.
Gu Sifan, Liu Zhengyu, Zhang Jiaxu, Rempfer Johannes, Joos Fortunat, Oppo Delia W. (2017), Coherent Response of Antarctic Intermediate Water and Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation During the Last Deglaciation: Reconciling Contrasting Neodymium Isotope Reconstructions From the Tropical AtlanticCoherent Deglacial AAIW and AMOC, in
Paleoceanography, 32(10), 1036-1053.
Poulter Benjamin, Bousquet Philippe, Canadell Josep G, Ciais Philippe, Peregon Anna, Saunois Marielle, Arora Vivek K, Beerling David J, Brovkin Victor, Jones Chris D, Joos Fortunat, Gedney Nicola, Ito Akihito, Kleinen Thomas, Koven Charles D, McDonald Kyle, Melton Joe R, Peng Changhui, Peng Shushi, Prigent Catherine, Schroeder Ronny, Riley William J, Saito Makoto, Spahni Renato, et al. (2017), Global wetland contribution to 2000–2012 atmospheric methane growth rate dynamics, in
Environmental Research Letters, 12(9), 094013-094013.
Orr James C., Najjar Raymond G., Aumont Olivier, Bopp Laurent, Bullister John L., Danabasoglu Gokhan, Doney Scott C., Dunne John P., Dutay Jean-Claude, Graven Heather, Griffies Stephen M., John Jasmin G., Joos Fortunat, Levin Ingeborg, Lindsay Keith, Matear Richard J., McKinley Galen A., Mouchet Anne, Oschlies Andreas, Romanou Anastasia, Schlitzer Reiner, Tagliabue Alessandro, Tanhua Toste, Yool Andrew (2017), Biogeochemical protocols and diagnostics for the CMIP6 Ocean Model Intercomparison Project (OMIP), in
Geoscientific Model Development, 10(6), 2169-2199.
Keller Kathrin M., Lienert Sebastian, Bozbiyik Anil, Stocker Thomas F., Churakova (Sidorova) Olga V., Frank David C., Klesse Stefan, Koven Charles D., Leuenberger Markus, Riley William J., Saurer Matthias, Siegwolf Rolf, Weigt Rosemarie B., Joos Fortunat (2017), 20th century changes in carbon isotopes and water-use efficiency: tree-ring-based evaluation of the CLM4.5 and LPX-Bern models, in
Biogeosciences, 14(10), 2641-2673.
The aim of this project is to integrate information from paleo proxy data and the instrumental record into Earth system models to advance the quantitative and qualitative understanding of biogeochemical-climate feedbacks and to improve Earth system projections. The project will lead to a better quantification of the link between anthropogenic emissions and climate targets, related to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change and the Paris Agreement.We will continue to apply the Bern3D-LPX, a cost-efficient Earth System Model of Intermediate Complexity, and the physically-comprehensive Community Earth System Model (CESM). With Bern3D-LPX, we will perform (i) glacial-interglacial, multi-greenhouse gas, multi-tracer, multi-isotope simulations, (ii) seamless simulations from glacial periods to the next millennium, and (iii) Bayesian, observation-constrained process quantifications and projections using massive model ensembles. A focus is on the greenhouse gases (GHG) carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), and nitrous oxide (N2O) and their land and ocean sources and sinks. A comprehensive set of parameters will be jointly simulated and compared with proxy and instrumental data. These include, for example, GHGs and atmospheric oxygen as well as proxy-relevant ocean and sediment parameters such as isotopes of carbon and other elements, oxygen, N2O, lysocline depth, carbonate ion, pH, biological productivity, nutrient utilization, and opal, carbonate and organic particle fluxes. On land, changes in wetland, peatland, and permafrost extent and their GHG sources and sinks are of particular interest. Potential Earth system impacts of the late Pleistocene Megafauna Extinction will be explored. Addressing the modern era and decarbonization pathways, we will perform Bayesian projections to quantify land use emissions, GHG-climate feedbacks and the link between CO2 emissions and impact-relevant variables. This will inform emission mitigation efforts. Carbon isotope-enabled simulations with CESM will be run over the industrial period and the 21st century. Their analysis will advance the understanding of the redistribution of anthropogenic carbon and carbon isotopes in the Earth System. This project will provide novel input to international modelling efforts such as CMIP6 and the Global Carbon Project and a unique, integrated analysis of Earth system change of the past 1.5 million years and the Anthropocene.