International Trade; International Law; Public International Law; Regional Trade Agreements; Investment awards; Investment agreements; Network analysis; Text as data
Pauwelyn Joost, Pelc Krzysztof (2019), Who Writes the Rulings of the World Trade Organization? A Critical Assessment of the Role of the Secretariat in WTO Dispute Settlement, in
SSRN Electronic Journal, 1.
Pauwelyn Joost, Zhang Weiwei (2018), Busier than Ever? A Data-Driven Assessment and Forecast of WTO Caseload, in
Journal of International Economic Law, 21(3), 461-487.
Alschner Wolfgang, Seiermann Julia, Skougarevskiy Dmitriy (2018), Text of Trade Agreements (ToTA)-A Structured Corpus for the Text-as-Data Analysis of Preferential Trade AgreementsText of Trade Agreements, in
Journal of Empirical Legal Studies, 15(3), 648-666.
AlschnerWolfgang (2018), Locked in language: historical sociology and the path dependency of investment treaty design, in Hirsch Moshe, Lang Andrew (ed.), Edward Elgar Publishing, Massachusetts, 456.
Alschner Wolfgang, Pauwelyn Joost, Puig Sergio (2017), The Data-Driven Future of International Economic Law, in
Journal of International Economic Law, 20(2), 217-231.
Alschner Wolfgang, Seiermann Julia, Skougarevskiy Dmitriy (2017), Text-as-Data Analysis of Preferential Trade Agreements: Mapping the PTA Landscape, in
SSRN Electronic Journal, 1.
Alschner Wolfgang, Skougarevskiy Dmitriy (2016), Mapping the Universe of International Investment Agreements, in
Journal of International Economic Law, 19(3), 561-588.
Alschner Wolfgang (2016), The New Gold Standard? Empirically Situating the TPP in the Investment Treaty Universe, in
SSRN Electronic Journal, 17, 339-373.
Alschner Wolfgang, Skougarevskiy Dmitriy (2016), Can Robots Write Treaties? Using Recurrent Neural Networks to Draft International Investment Agreements, in
SSRN Electronic Journal, 1.
AlschnerWolfgang (2016), Convergence and Divergence in the Investment Treaty Universe - Scoping the Potential for Multilateral Consolidation, in
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Alschner Wolfgang (2016), Rule-Takers or Rule-Makers? A New Look at African Bilateral Investment Treaty Practice, in
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Alschner Wolfgang (2016), The Impact of Investment Arbitration on Investment Treaty Design: Myth Versus Reality, in
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AlschnerWolfgang, UmovAleksander (2016),
Towards an Integrated Database of International Economic Law (IDIEL) Disputes for Text-as-Data Analysis, The Centre for Trade and Economic Integration, Geneva.
AlschnerWolfgang, Ensuring Correctness or Promoting Consistency? Tracking Policy Priorities in Investment Arbitration through Large-Scale Citation Analysis, in Fauchald Ole Kristian, Langford Malcolm, Behn Daniel (ed.), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1.
Most research on international economic law tackles “small data” problems. Interpreting a treaty clause or analysing an investment arbitration award requires attention to detail. Yet, international economic law also increasingly has to confront problems of a “big data” nature. Faced with a proliferation of thousands of bilateral investment treaties (BITs), hundreds of free trade agreements (FTA) and an ever-growing body of case law rendered by WTO panels or investment arbitrators, it becomes exceedingly important to find new ways to organize and analyse this complex and atomized structure of international economic law.While in the past it was either prohibitively costly or simply impossible to investigate thousands of treaties or hundreds of awards, the advance of technology and, in particular, of big-data analytics provides new tools to conduct innovative and insightful legal empirical analysis with a view to revealing yet undiscovered structures running through international economic law. This project will employ state-of-the-art text as data analytics and network analysis tools to investigate patterns of convergence and divergence in two areas of international economic law, examining trade and investment: (1) the universe of free trade and investment protection agreements and (2) the network of investment awards and trade panel/Appellate Body reports. Both areas are characterized by a fundamental tension that make the application of big data analytics particularly suitable. On the one hand, the body of FTAs/BITs and the world of trade/investment awards are marked by fragmentation and atomization. Countries have concluded thousands of FTAs and BITs that diverge in language and design. Similarly, hundreds of investment awards have been rendered by independent tribunals sometimes citing and sometimes contradicting each other. In the WTO, there is an Appellate Body, but diversity remains. In dispute settlement under FTAs (if which there are few cases to date, but there could be many in the future), no appellate system exists, and the risk of fragmentation within and between FTAs and between FTAs and the WTO is manifest. On the other hand, in both areas there are increasing calls for convergence. Finding a common denominator among FTAs is a vital step towards the multilateralisation of disciplines currently only found in bilateral or regional trade agreements. Clusters or types of BITs exist, some are converging, others diverging and renewed calls for a multilateral investment treaty have been made. Similarly, consistency through the development of a jurisprudence constante has been a recurring theme in the current reform debate on investment arbitration in order to enhance investment law’s predictability for both investors and states. In the WTO as well, although there is no formal rule of precedent and prior Appellate Body reports are not legally binding, a de facto rule of precedent has emerged as a powerful centralizing force, a force that is absent not only in investment arbitration but also in dispute settlement under FTAs (of which, to date, there are very few cases).This project will make a novel contribution to these efforts by providing big data solutions to big data problems. Revealing the structures of convergence and divergence in both areas of international law using text-as-data analytics and network analysis tools will help policy-makers and negotiators, in particular in developing countries, to better understand the current structures of international economic law and to help evaluate its need for reform.