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Anthropogenic carbon and heat uptake by the Southern Ocean

Applicant Frölicher Thomas
Number 142573
Funding scheme Ambizione
Research institution Institut für Biogeochemie und Schadstoffdynamik ETH Zürich
Institution of higher education ETH Zurich - ETHZ
Main discipline Oceanography
Start/End 01.05.2013 - 30.04.2016
Approved amount 400'209.00
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All Disciplines (2)

Discipline
Oceanography
Climatology. Atmospherical Chemistry, Aeronomy

Keywords (4)

Climate Science; Carbon Cycle; Biogeochemistry; Modelling

Responsible applicant and co-applicants

Employees

Publications

Publication
Structural uncertainty in projecting global fisheries catches under climate change
W. W. L. Cheung, M. C. Jones, G. Reygondeau, C. A. Stock, V. W. Y. Lam, T. L. Frölicher (2016), Structural uncertainty in projecting global fisheries catches under climate change, in Ecological Modelling, 325, 57-66.
The importance of ENSO phase during volcanic eruptions for detection and attribution
F. Lehner, A. Schurer, G. Hegerl, C. Deser, T. L. Frölicher (2016), The importance of ENSO phase during volcanic eruptions for detection and attribution, in Geophysical Research Letters, 4, 2851-2858.
When can ocean acidification impacts be detected from decadal alkalinity measurements?
Brendan Carter, Thomas Frölicher, John Dunne, Keith Rodgers, Rick Slater, Jorge Sarmiento (2016), When can ocean acidification impacts be detected from decadal alkalinity measurements?, in Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 30, 595-612.
Dominance of the Southern Ocean in anthropogenic carbon and heat uptake in CMIP5 models
T. L. Frölicher, J. L. Sarmiento, D. J. Paynter, J. P. Dunne, J. P. Krasting, M. Winton (2015), Dominance of the Southern Ocean in anthropogenic carbon and heat uptake in CMIP5 models, in Journal of Climate, 28, 862-886.
Emergence of multiple ocean ecosystem drivers in a large ensemble suite with an Earth System Model
K. B. Rodgers, J. Lin, T. L. Frölicher (2015), Emergence of multiple ocean ecosystem drivers in a large ensemble suite with an Earth System Model, in Biogeosciences, 12, 3301-3320.
Sensitivity of radiative forcing, ocean heat uptake and climate feedback to changes in anthropogenic greenhouse gases and aerosols
D. J. Paynter, T. L. Frölicher (2015), Sensitivity of radiative forcing, ocean heat uptake and climate feedback to changes in anthropogenic greenhouse gases and aerosols, in Journal of Geophysical Research Atmosphere, 120, 9837-9854.
Thermal forces in the Southern Ocean upwelling
A. Morrison, T. L. Frölicher, J. L. Sarmiento (2015), Thermal forces in the Southern Ocean upwelling, in Physics Today, 68, 11-11.
Upwelling in the Southern Ocean
A. K. Morrison, T. L. Frölicher, J. L. Sarmiento (2015), Upwelling in the Southern Ocean, in Physics Today, 68, 27-32.
An observing system simulation for Southern Ocean carbon dioxide uptake
Majkut Joseph, Carter Brendan, Frölicher Thomas, Dufour Carolina, Rodgers Keith, Sarmiento Jorge (2014), An observing system simulation for Southern Ocean carbon dioxide uptake, in Philosophical Transactions of The Royal Society A, 372(20130046), 20130046.
Continued global warming after CO2 emissions stoppage
Frölicher Thomas, Winton Michael, Sarmiento jorge (2014), Continued global warming after CO2 emissions stoppage, in Nature Climate Change, 4, 40-44.
Ocean (de)oxygenation across the last deglaciation: Insights for the future
Jaccard Samuel, Galbraith Eric, Frölicher Thomas, Gruber Nicolas (2014), Ocean (de)oxygenation across the last deglaciation: Insights for the future, in Oceanography, 27(1), 26-35.
Ocean Systems
Pörtner H.-O. (2014), Ocean Systems, in C. Field (ed.), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 411-484.
The declining uptake rate of atmospheric CO2 by land and ocean sinks
M. R. Raupach, M. Gloor, J. L. Sarmiento, J. G. Canadell, T. L. Frölicher, T. Gasser, R. A. Houghton, C. Le Quéré, C. M. Trudinger (2014), The declining uptake rate of atmospheric CO2 by land and ocean sinks, in Biogeosciences, 11, 3453-3475.
Connecting changing ocean circulation with changing climate
Winton Michael, Griffies Stephen, Samuels Bonita, Sarmiento Jorge, Frölicher Thomas (2013), Connecting changing ocean circulation with changing climate, in Journal of Climate, 26, 2268-2278.
Building confidence in projections of the responses of living marine resources to climate change
W. W. L. Cheung, T. L. Frölicher, R. G. Asch, M. C. Jones, M. C. Jones, M. L. Pinsky, G. Reygondeau, K. B. Rodgers, R. R. Rykaczewski, J. L. Sarmiento, C. Stock, J. R. Watson, Building confidence in projections of the responses of living marine resources to climate change, in ICES Journal of Marine Science.
Extending the relationship between global warming and cumulative carbon emissions to multi-millennial timescales
T. L. Frölicher, D. J. Paynter, Extending the relationship between global warming and cumulative carbon emissions to multi-millennial timescales, in Environmental Research Letters.
Strong warming at high emissions
Thomas Frölicher, Strong warming at high emissions, in Nature Climate Change.
Tambora 1815 as a test case for high impact volcanic eruptions: Earth system effects
Christoph Raible, Stefan Brönnimann, R. Auchmann, P. Brohan, T. L. Frölicher, H.-F. Graf, P. Jones, J. Luterbacher, S. Muthers, R. Neukom, A. Robock, S. Self, A. Sudrajat, C. Timmreck, M. Wegmann, Tambora 1815 as a test case for high impact volcanic eruptions: Earth system effects, in WIREs Climate Change.

Collaboration

Group / person Country
Types of collaboration
Fisheries Centre, University of British Columbia Canada (North America)
- in-depth/constructive exchanges on approaches, methods or results
- Publication
Pinsky Lab, Rutgers University United States of America (North America)
- in-depth/constructive exchanges on approaches, methods or results
- Publication
Environmental Physics, ETH Zürich Switzerland (Europe)
- in-depth/constructive exchanges on approaches, methods or results
- Publication
- Research Infrastructure
- Exchange of personnel
Climate Physics, ETH Zürich Switzerland (Europe)
- in-depth/constructive exchanges on approaches, methods or results
- Publication
Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory United States of America (North America)
- in-depth/constructive exchanges on approaches, methods or results
- Publication
AOS Program, Princeton University United States of America (North America)
- in-depth/constructive exchanges on approaches, methods or results
- Publication
- Research Infrastructure
Claudie Beaulieu, National Oceanography Centre Southampton Great Britain and Northern Ireland (Europe)
- in-depth/constructive exchanges on approaches, methods or results
- Publication
Climate Physics Group / Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, IAC ETH Zuerich Switzerland (Europe)
- in-depth/constructive exchanges on approaches, methods or results
- Research Infrastructure

Scientific events

Active participation

Title Type of contribution Title of article or contribution Date Place Persons involved
Symposium in honor of Jorge Sarmiento Individual talk Millennial-scale recovery of deep ocean ventilation with global warming 14.03.2016 Princeton, United States of America Frölicher Thomas;
Ocean Sciences Meeting Talk given at a conference Exploring confidence and uncertainty in projections of potential marine ecosystem stressors under climate change 26.02.2016 New Orleans, United States of America Frölicher Thomas;
AGU Fall Meeting 2015 Talk given at a conference Patterns of the Oceanic Redistribution of Heat and Carbon during Global Warming Hiatus Periods in a Large Earth System Model Ensemble 14.12.2015 San Francisco, United States of America Frölicher Thomas;
AGU Fall Meeting 2015 Talk given at a conference Sources of uncertainties in 21st century projections of marine ecosystem drivers 14.12.2015 San Francisco, United States of America Frölicher Thomas;
AGU Fall Meeting 2015 Talk given at a conference Southern Ocean heat and carbon uptake: mechanisms, recent trends and future changes 14.12.2015 San Francisco, United States of America Frölicher Thomas;
EMBRACE-CMIP Workshop Individual talk Sources of uncertainties in projections of potential marine ecosystem stressors 22.10.2015 Dubrovnik, Croatia Frölicher Thomas;
Our common future, UNESCO Poster Extending the relationship between global warming and cumulative carbon emissions to multi-millennial timescales 08.07.2015 Paris, France Frölicher Thomas;
Tambora Bicentenary Conference Talk given at a conference Volcanic eruptions and the carbon cycle 07.04.2015 Bern, Switzerland Frölicher Thomas;
Ocean's carbon and heat uptake workshop Poster Enhanced deep ocean ventilation with global warming 13.12.2014 San Francisco, United States of America Frölicher Thomas;
AGU Fall Meeting 2014 Poster Continued global warming after CO2 emissions stoppage 12.12.2014 San Francisco, United States of America Frölicher Thomas;
AGU Fall Meeting 2014 Talk given at a conference Emergence of multiple ocean ecosystem drivers in a large ensemble with and Earth System Model 10.12.2014 San Francisco, United States of America Frölicher Thomas;
AGU Fall Meeting 2014 Poster Enhanced deep ocean ventilation and oxygenation with global warming 08.12.2014 San Francisco, United States of America Frölicher Thomas;
Seminar National Oceanography Centre Southampton Individual talk New insights into the ocean's role in transient climate change 12.11.2014 Southampton, Great Britain and Northern Ireland Frölicher Thomas;
Seminar Environmental Physics Institute, ETH Zürich Individual talk Recovery of deep ocean ventilation with global warming 03.11.2014 Zürich, Switzerland Frölicher Thomas;
Latsis Symposium; Atmosphere and Climate Dynamics Talk given at a conference The dependence of transient climate change on the regional pattern of ocean heat uptake 19.06.2014 Zürich, Switzerland Frölicher Thomas;
Low Oxygen Environments In Marine, Estuarine And Fresh Waters Talk given at a conference Transient and equilibrium response of oceanic dissolved oxygen to global warming 05.05.2014 Liege, Belgium Frölicher Thomas;
EGU meeting Poster Anthropogenic carbon and heat uptake in CMIP5 models: The dominance of the Southern Ocean 30.04.2014 Vienna, Austria Frölicher Thomas;
EGU Meeting Poster Continued global warming after CO2 emissions stoppage 30.04.2014 Vienna, Austria Frölicher Thomas;
Seminar Institute for Atmosphere and Climate, ETH Zürich Individual talk New insights into irreversible Climate Change 17.02.2014 Zürich, Switzerland Frölicher Thomas;
AGU FAll Meeting Poster Impact on irreversible climate change of feedback effects associated with the geographic distribution of ocean heat uptake 10.12.2013 San Francisco, United States of America Frölicher Thomas;
Seminar Klima und Umweltphysik, Universität Bern Individual talk New insights into irreversible climate change 14.10.2013 Bern, Switzerland Frölicher Thomas;
Seminar Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Individual talk New insights into cumulative carbon emissions and irreversible climate change 04.09.2013 Princeton, NJ, United States of America Frölicher Thomas;
Seminar Environmental Physics Institute, ETH Zürich Individual talk New insights into irreversible climate change 29.08.2013 Zürich, Switzerland Frölicher Thomas;


Self-organised

Title Date Place
Ocean Heat and Carbon Uptake and Storage: Observations, Mechanisms, and Feedbacks 25.02.2016 New Orleans, United States of America

Knowledge transfer events

Active participation

Title Type of contribution Date Place Persons involved
Business Breakfast, Solothurn Talk 17.03.2016 Solothurn, Switzerland Frölicher Thomas;


Communication with the public

Communication Title Media Place Year
Media relations: print media, online media Tausend Jahre im Blick Die Zeit International German-speaking Switzerland 2016
Media relations: print media, online media What happens if we burn all the fossil fuels? The Guardian International 2016
Print (books, brochures, leaflets) Anthropogenic carbon and heat uptake by the ocean: Will the Southern Ocean remain a major sink? International 2015
Print (books, brochures, leaflets) Das polare Fenster im Mittelpunkt des Interesses. In: Schweizer Polarforschung Rhaeto-Romanic Switzerland German-speaking Switzerland Italian-speaking Switzerland Western Switzerland 2015
Print (books, brochures, leaflets) Ocean biogeochemistry in the fifth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5). International 2015
Media relations: print media, online media Even if emissions stop, carbon dioxide could warm Earth for centuries Princeton University Press International 2013
Media relations: print media, online media Wird der Klimawandel unterschätzt? ETH-News German-speaking Switzerland 2013

Awards

Title Year
Best Paper Award of the Carbon Mitigation Initiative at Princeton University 2014

Associated projects

Number Title Start Funding scheme
131559 Modeling nitrogen-carbon-climate interactions in a high-CO2 world 01.09.2010 Fellowships for prospective researchers

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