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Towards impact-relevant climate projections based on the new CMIP5 global climate model simulations

Gesuchsteller/in Knutti Reto
Nummer 144332
Förderungsinstrument Projektförderung (Abt. I-III)
Forschungseinrichtung Institut für Atmosphäre und Klima ETH Zürich
Hochschule ETH Zürich - ETHZ
Hauptdisziplin Klimatologie, Atmosphärenphysik, Aeronomie
Beginn/Ende 01.03.2013 - 31.07.2016
Bewilligter Betrag 283'826.00
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Keywords (5)

climate scenarios; joint projections; internal climate variability; projection uncertainty; multi model ensembles

Verantw. Gesuchsteller/in und weitere Gesuchstellende

Mitarbeitende

Publikationen

Publikation
Reconciling observed and modeled temperature and precipitation trends over Europe by adjusting for circulation variability
(2016), Reconciling observed and modeled temperature and precipitation trends over Europe by adjusting for circulation variability, in Geophysical Research Letters, 43(15), 8189-8198.
Anthropogenic contribution to global occurrence of heavy-precipitation and high-temperature extremes
(2015), Anthropogenic contribution to global occurrence of heavy-precipitation and high-temperature extremes, in Nature Climate Change, 5(6), 560-564.
Contributions of atmospheric circulation variability and data coverage bias to the warming hiatus
(2015), Contributions of atmospheric circulation variability and data coverage bias to the warming hiatus, in Geophysical Research Letters, 42(7), 2385-2391.
The influence of natural variability and interpolation errors on bias characterization in RCM simulations
(2015), The influence of natural variability and interpolation errors on bias characterization in RCM simulations, in Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 120(19), 180-10.
Detection of spatially aggregated changes in temperature and precipitation extremes
(2014), Detection of spatially aggregated changes in temperature and precipitation extremes, in Knutti, Reto, 41(2), 547-554.
Models agree on forced response pattern of precipitation and temperature extremes
(2014), Models agree on forced response pattern of precipitation and temperature extremes, in Geophysical Research Letters, 41(23), 8554-8562.
Natural variability, radiative forcing and climate response in the recent hiatus reconciled
(2014), Natural variability, radiative forcing and climate response in the recent hiatus reconciled, in Nature Geoscience, 7(9), 651-656.
Robust spatially aggregated projections of climate extremes
(2013), Robust spatially aggregated projections of climate extremes, in Nature Climate change, 3(12), 1033-1038.

Zusammenarbeit

Gruppe / Person Land
Formen der Zusammenarbeit
National Center for Atmospheric Research Vereinigte Staaten von Amerika (Nordamerika)
- vertiefter/weiterführender Austausch von Ansätzen, Methoden oder Resultaten
Colorado State Univiersity Vereinigte Staaten von Amerika (Nordamerika)
- vertiefter/weiterführender Austausch von Ansätzen, Methoden oder Resultaten

Wissenschaftliche Veranstaltungen

Aktiver Beitrag

Titel Art des Beitrags Titel des Artikels oder Beitrages Datum Ort Beteiligte Personen
European Geophysical Union (EGU) General Assembly 2016 Vortrag im Rahmen einer Tagung Potential for constraining in the presence of large natural variability 17.04.2016 Wien, Oesterreich Borodina Aleksandra;
CLIVAR/ICTP Workshop Vortrag im Rahmen einer Tagung Towards impact-relevant climate projections: the challenge of internal variability 16.11.2015 Trieste, Italien Saffioti Claudio;
14th Swiss Climate Summer School – "Extreme events and climate” Poster Emergent constraints in climate projections: a case study of changes in high latitude temperature variability 28.08.2015 Ascona, Schweiz Borodina Aleksandra;
Workshop on Uncertainty Quantification in Climate Modeling and Projection Poster Emergent constraints in climate projections: a case study of changes in high latitude temperature variability 13.07.2015 Trieste, Italien Borodina Aleksandra;
CH2018 Workshop on Swiss Climate Change Scenarios Vortrag im Rahmen einer Tagung Atmospheric circulation effects on temperature 02.07.2015 Zürich, Schweiz Saffioti Claudio;
European Geophysical Union (EGU) General Assembly 2015 Vortrag im Rahmen einer Tagung The contribution of atmospheric circulation and coverage bias to the warming hiatus 12.04.2015 Wien, Oesterreich Saffioti Claudio;
European Geophysical Union (EGU) General Assembly 2015 Poster Emergent constraints in climate projections: a case study of changes in high latitude temperature variability 12.04.2015 Wien, Oesterreich Borodina Aleksandra;
Swiss Global Change Day 2015 Poster Contributions of atmospheric circulation variability and data coverage bias to the warming hiatus 01.04.2015 Bern, Schweiz Saffioti Claudio;
European Geophysical Union (EGU) General Assembly 2014 Poster The warming hole as an internal climate variability phenomenon? 27.04.2014 Wien, Oesterreich Saffioti Claudio;
NCAS Climate Modelling Summer School Poster The warming hole as an internal climate variability phenomenon 08.09.2013 Oxford, Grossbritannien und Nordirland Saffioti Claudio;


Kommunikation mit der Öffentlichkeit

Kommunikation Titel Medien Ort Jahr
Medienarbeit: Radio, Fernsehen Dozens of interviews and hundreds of media contributions by PI Knutti and co-PI Fischer International Westschweiz Italienische Schweiz Deutschschweiz 2015
Referate/Veranstaltungen/Ausstellungen The PI Knutti and co-PI Fischer give dozens of public talks at schools, private companies, museums International Deutschschweiz Westschweiz 2015

Verbundene Projekte

Nummer Titel Start Förderungsinstrument
119952 Quantifying climate change uncertainty from the CMIP3 ensemble of global coupled climate models 01.04.2008 Projektförderung (Abt. I-III)

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