Glaciology; Decadal forecasting; Hindcast; Accuracy assessment; Hydrology
Farinotti Daniel, Round Vanessa, Huss Matthias, Compagno Loris, Zekollari Harry (2019), Large hydropower and water-storage potential in future glacier-free basins, in Nature
, 575(7782), 341-344.
Schaefli Bettina, Manso Pedro, Fischer Mauro, Huss Matthias, Farinotti Daniel (2019), The role of glacier retreat for Swiss hydropower production, in Renewable Energy
, 132, 615-627.
Gindraux Saskia, Farinotti Daniel (2018), Skill transfer from meteorological to runoff forecasts in glacierized catchments, in Hydrology
, 5(2), 26-26.
Feiger Nadine, Huss Matthias, Leinss Silvan, Sold Leo, Farinotti Daniel (2018), An updated bedrock topography for Gries- and Findelengletscher, in Geographia Helvetica
, 73, 1-9.
Gindraux Saskia, Boesch Ruedi, Farinotti Daniel (2017), Accuracy assessment of digital surface models from unmanned aerial vehicles’ imagery on glaciers, in Remote Sensing
, 9(2), 189.
Farinotti Daniel (2017), Glacier modeling, in Richardson D. et al. (ed.), Wiley-Blackwell and the Association of American Geographers, Washington DC, 1-4.
Farinotti Daniel, Pistocchi Alberto, Huss Matthias (2016), From dwindling ice to headwater lakes: Could dams replace glaciers in the European Alps?, in Environmental Research Letters
, 11(5), 054022.
Kronenberg Marlene, Barandun Martina, Hoelzle Martin, Huss Matthias, Farinotti Daniel, Azisov Erlan, Usubaliev Ryskul, Gafurov Abror, Petrakov Dmytri, Kääb Andreas (2016), Mass-balance reconstruction for Glacier No. 354, Tien Shan, from 2003 to 2014, in Annals of Glaciology
, 57(71), 92-102.
Parrella Giuseppe, Farinotti Daniel, Hajnsek Irena, Papathanassiou Konstantinos P. (2016), Monitoring the subsurface of an Alpine glacier using polarimetric SAR observations at L-band, in Proceedings of the 11th European Conference on Synthetic Aperture Radar (EUSAR)
, VDE, Berlin.
Duethmann Doris, Bolch Tobias, Farinotti Daniel, Kriegel David, Vorogushyn Sergiy, Merz Bruno, Pieczonka Tino (2015), Attribution of streamflow trends in headwater catchments of the Tarim River, Central Asia, in Water Resources Research
, 51(6), 4727-4750.
Barandun Martina, Huss Matthias, Sold Leo, Farinotti Daniel, Azizov Erlan, Salzman Nadine, Usubaliev Ryskul, Merkushkin Alexander, Hoelzle Martin (2015), Re-analysis of seasonal mass balance at Abramov Glacier 1968-2014, in Journal of Glaciology
, 61(230), 1103-1116.
Farinotti Daniel, Longuevergne Laurent, Moholdt Geir, Duethmann Doris, Mölg Thomas, Bolch Tobias, Vorogushyn Sergiy, Güntner Andreas (2015), Substantial glacier mass loss in the Tien Shan over the past 50 years, in Nature Geoscience
, 8(9), 716-722.
The new Energy Strategy 2050, elaborated by the Swiss Government in order to guarantee sufficient electricity provision after the gradual shut-down of the five National nuclear power plants, has identified hydropower as key element for achieving the ambitious goal of replacing 40% of the current electricity production. In particular, a 10% increase in hydropower production by 2050 has been estimated to be necessary. Achieving this goal will require increasing the efficiency in a sector that is already highly optimized.The ultimate goal of the here proposed project is to provide decadal, operational forecasts for the evolution of hydro-glaciological variables that drive hydropower production and the planning of hydropower infrastructure in the Alpine environment. The forecasts will target at a multi-year to decadal time horizon, and include predictions for the evolution of runoff and glacier geometry.In the recent past, the field of decadal forecasting has been developing fast in the context of atmospheric sciences. By making use of the predictive power that the current state of various mid-term persistent phenomena have on the evolution of the atmospheric system, decadal forecasts that outperform classical climate change scenarios have been developed. The project will make use of such forecasts for driving an ensemble of hydro-glaciological models, and explore the possibility of further increasing the accuracy of the forecasts by using the inertia that cryospheric components have in the hydrological cycle. Substantial information for this purpose will be gained by making use of a fast developing measuring technique, known as Structure from Motion (SfM).Two main points contribute making this project innovative: On the one hand, the use of decadal atmospheric forecasts for impact-assessment like studies is currently limited. Whilst such forecasts have been used for predicting the frequency of hurricanes or drought events for example, no application in the hydro-glaciological context is found yet. The possibility of extending the framework to components of the cryosphere is unexplored. On the other hand, applications of SfM-techniques in the context of geosciences are in their infancy, although analyses suggest an unprecedented accuracy at an exceptionally low cost. This would allow the precise quantification of different parameters that are important for glacio-hydrological forecasting such as the distribution of the snow depth, the glacier ice-flow speed, or even the magnitude of sediment transport. The here proposed project will take place at the Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research (WSL), and aims at supporting the build-up of a Competence Center for the Supply of Energy (SCCER-SoE) recently initiated by the Federal Commission for Technology and Innovation. By actively cooperating with a number of partners and stakeholders both included and external to SCCER-SoE, the project will benefit from specific expertise in various fields, eliminate redundancies, and maximize the revenue of the funding.